Sunday, October 30, 2005

Etisalat's Pakistan Telecom deal cancelled (Gulfnews)

As predicted in Arab Economist (see blog), Etisalat has cancelled the deal to acquire 26% of Pakistan Telecom (PCTL) for US$ 2.59 billion.
"We have served the notice to Etisalat for cancellation of the deal because they have not paid the amount within the required time," the official said without giving further details.Eisalat is expcted to make public annoucement shortly.

Thursday, October 06, 2005

Gulf stock markets - Lex Column (FT)

Egypt is not the only Middle Eastern country with a surfeit of pyramids. Structures to rival anything the pharaohs built have sprung up across Arabia, in the form of stock markets that have run well into "greatest fool" territory. Unlike their ancient counterparts, these ones have been thrown up in less than three years and will not withstand the test of time.

Examples of valuations that defy gravity - if not sanity - abound. One is Abu Dhabi National Energy, known as Taqa. In spite of having fallen by more than a quarter since it listed last month, the shares still trade on a price/earnings multiple of 64 times.

Surprisingly, Taqa is a utility, with earnings forecast to grow 7 per cent annually. Its European peers, offering 10 per cent growth, trade at 14 times. In Qatar, where economic prospects look good, foreign investors have not exactly rushed in since the Doha stock market was opened to them in April.

Retail ownership of more than 80 per cent, combined with patchy analyst coverage, means valuations more often rely on headlines rather than proper number-crunching.

For now, oil-derived liquidity makes calling the top tricky. But volatility is running at twice the rate of other emerging markets. A few more financial scandals, or an exogenous shock - something the region has long specialised in - could burst confidence even before oil prices moderate. The creation of such unsound structures is, sadly, an all-too-familiar sequence in oil-rich economies.

Tuesday, October 04, 2005

Investors paying price for uncertainty: Etislat Takeover of PTCL (DAWN)

Interesting article about Etisalat takeover of Pakistan Telecom. Etisalat bid a hefty Rs 117.01 per share or US$ 2.59 billion, almost double the second bid by China Mobile.
The silence from the Pakistani Government echo loudly of a at least some issues related to the completion of probably the most successful privatization in the history of the country.

Monday, October 03, 2005

Turkey's EU Entry Talks Stall Amid Austrian Opposition (WSJ.com)

Comments : The historical decision on Turkey's membership has to do more on the future direction of the EU. Will it remain a Stagnant Christian Franco-German centric or a younger ethnically diversified and growing union.

Dana Gas IPO to raise $137bn | Finance and Economy

Comment: Another blockbuster IPO in UAE. The hard job remains - how to utilize the IPO proceeds, expected at $ 137 billion. More importantly, how to utilize the proceeds profitably for its investors ! As as the case these days, these elementary thoughts are secondary in today's frantic market.